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Incidents and on-call/Alerting/Alert intelligence

Alert intelligence

Which rules are useful, which are noise, and which have never fired at all.

Incidents & On-Call → Alert Intelligence grades your alerting on the only thing that matters: did a human do something about it?

What it measures

MetricQuestion
Fire countHow often does this rule go off?
Acknowledge rateHow often does somebody claim it?
Time to acknowledgeHow long before anybody looks?
Auto-resolve rateHow often does it fix itself before anybody arrives?
Mean durationHow long is it usually true?
Never firedHas it produced a single alert since it was created?

The three shapes worth acting on

Noise

Fires often, rarely acknowledged, usually auto-resolves in under the time it takes to open a laptop. The condition is real but transient.

Fix: raise For. A rule that is right but early teaches people to ignore it, and that habit does not stay confined to the one rule.

Flapping

Fires and resolves repeatedly, on a value sitting on the threshold.

Fix: widen the gap between the firing and recovery conditions, or set a Cooldown. A rule that pages four times an hour about the same condition is one alert as far as a human is concerned.

Never fired

Created, enabled, and silent since. Either nothing has gone wrong, or the rule cannot fire.

Fix: check it deliberately. AccelerUp marks a rule that has never produced a reading as never run rather than healthy, because those look identical on a dashboard and only one of them is good news.

Warning

A rule that has never fired is the most dangerous kind of monitoring, because it is indistinguishable from working monitoring until the day you need it.

Suppression and pre-fire triage

Some sources support suppressing an alert before it reaches anybody, using statistical confidence rather than a raw threshold. See Endpoint guard, which uses a Wilson lower bound and K-of-N persistence, and can ask the Copilot for a verdict in shadow or gating mode.

See also

Where this behaviour lives: frontend/src/app/alerts/intelligence/. If the code and this page disagree, the code is right — please fix the page.

Part of Incidents and on-callTurning a reading into a page, and a page into a resolved incident.